After installing the update 2025092700, I uninstalled the messages app, reinstalled it, gave it the permissions I am fine with it having, saw I already had the phone permission given to Google Play Services, set Google Messaging as the SMS app, then launched it and let it sit there for a little bit
Still stuck on 3000 "Please wait, activation is ongoing" after the first automatic retry
As of writing this it just changed to a "Trouble connecting, Awaiting retry..." from previously saying "Connecting..."
I should probably note I am running the beta channel of Google Messages